Mardin Fosfat vs Talasgücü Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+162%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
6º
5º
4
7º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
47% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mardin Fosfat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MBB
0 - 0
NBF
82%
12%
7%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
MBB
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MBB
2 - 1
NBS
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MBB
4 - 2
IKG
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 1
MBB
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Talasgücü Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
SGS
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
TAL
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ABS
3 - 4
TAL
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 1
AHP
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |