Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
12º
4º
31
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLA
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
API
0 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
STG
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 4
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
SYD
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
API
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
SUT
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 0
NWS
91%
7%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
SUT
4%
11%
85%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 3
WOL
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |