Marconi Stallions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
SYD
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NZK
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
PAP
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
NZK
2 - 0
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
ADE
2 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |