Marconi Stallions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BRI
2 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
ADE
1 - 2
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |