Marconi Stallions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
GIF
0 - 1
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
WAD
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
CCO
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ADE
4 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
SYD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
NCB
0 - 2
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
BRI
0 - 3
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 0
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |