Marconi Stallions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
CCO
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
ADE
3 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
4 - 0
GIF
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 1
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
SYD
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOU
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
CCO
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
GIF
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |