Marconi Stallions vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADE
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SFC
5 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 4
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MEL
4 - 2
SOU
44%
24%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 2
SYD
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |