Marconi Stallions vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 2
MAR
47%
22%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 1
SYD
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 3
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
MAR
4 - 2
ADE
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 4
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
6 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
SYD
3 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 3
CCO
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |