Marconi Stallions vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
BRI
0 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
ADE
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
CSC
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MEL
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCO
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |