Marconi Stallions vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
NZK
3 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
3 - 2
SFC
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
3 - 1
SYD
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
SFC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 1
BRI
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 2
NZK
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
SFC
2 - 0
GIF
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
GIF
1 - 1
SOU
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 0
GIF
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |