Marconi Stallions vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAP
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
3 - 0
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
PER
1 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 3
NZK
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
ADE
1 - 0
CCO
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
NZK
3 - 1
CCO
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 3
SFC
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
CCO
71%
17%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 3
SYD
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |