Marconi Stallions vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ADE
4 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADE
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 2
WAD
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
SYD
0 - 2
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
CCO
1 - 3
SYD
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
CCO
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
CCO
2 - 4
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
3 - 1
CCO
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
CCO
0 - 1
ADE
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |