Marconi Stallions vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ADE
0 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 2
GIF
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 0
NCB
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
BRI
1 - 3
MAR
42%
24%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
CCO
2 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
CCO
2 - 3
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
CCO
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
CCO
0 - 0
SYD
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
ADE
2 - 0
CCO
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |