Olympique Marcquois vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
37
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
IRI
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ESL
0 - 1
LIL
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
AMI
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 1
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 2
LIL
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 4
FEI
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |