Marck vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEN
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FEI
3 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
ROY
26%
26%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOU
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 4
ASB
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SEN
0 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 2
USM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |