Marck vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIL
3 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUL
46%
22%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
IVR
17%
25%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLY
42%
27%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 1
SML
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
BOU
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SML
5 - 3
TOU
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
SML
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
OLY
75%
15%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |