Marcílio Dias vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PEL
4 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PEL
1 - 0
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
PEL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PEL
4 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 1
PEL
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SCI
3 - 2
PEL
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |