Marcílio Dias vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUB
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FFL
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MET
0 - 3
AVA
8%
16%
76%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |