Marcílio Dias vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 2
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FFL
3 - 0
MET
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |