Marcílio Dias vs Juventus SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
AVA
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
4 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 0
JUV
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
BRU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 1
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |