Marcílio Dias vs Juventus SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
JEC
17%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BRU
3 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
5 - 1
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
AVA
4 - 0
JUV
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
CHA
16%
25%
59%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +2 |