Marcílio Dias vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVA
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
CRI
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
JEC
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 2
FFL
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |