Marcílio Dias vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
IMB
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
CRI
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CHA
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 4
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 4
JEC
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |