Marcílio Dias vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
CRI
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CHA
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
1 - 1
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRU
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 1
IMB
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 4
JEC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MET
2 - 3
IMB
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BRU
2 - 0
IMB
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 0
CRI
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |