Marcílio Dias vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
CRI
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |