Marcílio Dias vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
FFL
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
BRU
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |