Série D Brazil Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-2
Marcílio Dias vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
FER
27%
30%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEL
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 2
GOI
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 2
GAM
21%
26%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
GOI
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 0
LTD
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GOI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |