Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 0
JEC
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 2
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |