Marcílio Dias vs EC Próspera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
5 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALT
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOI
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EC Próspera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
JEC
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
ECP
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
0 - 0
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
ECP
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |