Marcílio Dias vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
ECP
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
CRI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |