Marcílio Dias vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
5 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
FFL
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
7 - 0
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 2
CRI
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CRI
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |