Marcílio Dias vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SCA
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CFC
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FFL
4 - 1
CAC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAC
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |