Marcílio Dias vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRI
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAR
77%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |