Marcílio Dias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 0
MAR
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAX
3 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ECP
1 - 2
CAX
25%
31%
44%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAX
3 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAX
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAX
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |