Marcílio Dias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
33.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 0
CAX
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
AIM
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAX
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAX
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |