Catarinense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Marcílio Dias vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |