Marcílio Dias vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 1
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |