Marcílio Dias vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FFL
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 2
FFL
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 2
JEC
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 0
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |