Marcílio Dias vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BRU
2 - 2
CRI
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 2
BRU
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 0
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 3
BRU
79%
14%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |