Marcílio Dias vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 4
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 2
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAX
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRI
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |