Marcílio Dias vs Barra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
3 - 2
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
JEC
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 1
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 5
BAR
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |