Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
68.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
AIM
38%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUV
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAM
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 2
AVA
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |