Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
TUB
4 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
AVA
4 - 0
JUV
76%
15%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 0
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |