Marchtrenk vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
NEU
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 2
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 2
BAD
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
GRU
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
WEL
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
GRI
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
EFE
1 - 1
WEL
26%
26%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 0
SIE
67%
20%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |