Marchtrenk vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUR
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
GRI
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
5 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAD
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 1
WEL
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 1
STM
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 0
WEL
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 4
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |