Marchtrenk vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GMU
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
WEL
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
DON
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 1
MAR
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
NEU
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 4
SSM
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
SIE
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |