Marchtrenk vs Gurten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
GRI
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
5 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 2
EFE
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 4
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
GMU
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
GUR
20%
21%
58%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 3
BAD
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |