CD Marchamalo vs CP Villarrobledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
14º
10º
32
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TDR
0 - 1
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
VRU
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
QRE
3 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDT
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UBC
1 - 0
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
LSO
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
CSP
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |