CD Marchamalo vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VRU
3 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
AZU
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PED
4 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UDS
1 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UBC
2 - 0
CDC
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 4
UBC
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UBC
2 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MIG
0 - 3
UBC
8%
17%
76%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UBC
3 - 0
MAD
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |