CD Marchamalo vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VRU
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
GIM
29%
27%
43%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 2
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
MAD
20%
25%
55%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 2
TOM
71%
19%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
AZU
16%
23%
61%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
TOM
57%
23%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
QRE
25%
26%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |